ECONOMIC’S OF TERRORISM

THE UNITED STATES IS ON THE VERGE OF THE MOST DEVASTATING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE IN HISTORY!

 

 

by Michael Webster

 

 

Its no secret!... Our Economy and Financial markets are facing turbulent times due to: Government over spending, Plummeting U.S. Dollar, High energy prices, Inflation, crashing credit and real state markets!

The question on everyone’s mind is what can I do to protect myself?

The Privacy that was guaranteed by the 4th Amendment in the U.S. Constitution has for the most part disappeared in the area of investments. Today just about every asset and investment can be traced; is reportable and visible by the watchful eyes of the Federal Government.

Except!...for  “Private” Gold & Silver, one of the Last Private investments in our “Monetary system”.

 

The United States even before 911 was headed for bank and currency failures of enormous proportions. The horrible terrorist attacks at the New York World Trade Center # 2 put this country into a economic tail spin that we still have not completely recovered from. The so called bubble economy cannot withstand another attack of that magnitude. Even terror train bombs like in Spain hurt the free worlds economy and weakens the dollar even more. Religious Ideology, is the armed struggle's universal engine of destruction the Jihad or Holly War. This is the unexpected and disconcerting scenario unveiled by an economic analysis of modern terrorism. We cannot withstand another major terrorist or even threats of major terrorist attacks will cripple an already in trouble global economy. And the terrorist knows that. They know with every attack and even just the threat of attack weakens the Christian world and the other free worlds economies. Never doubt that Jihad is a Holy war against Israel and the west and all infidels the world over. Islam is by far the largest faith on earth and is the fastest growing of all.

The CIA director, George Tenet testifying before the panel probing events Leading to 9/11, whose tenure has spanned both the Clinton and Bush administrations. Said, unambiguously the nation should be prepared for another attack. ''It's coming. They are still going to try and do it.” We need to do a hell of a lot better.

The fastest growing economy in the world is the new economy of terror; a sophisticated international economic system that avoids what we think is normal economics. Al Qaeda and most other terrorist groups have developed their own system. Much of which is barrowed from ancient times where the Moslems fervently avoided banks and the Qur'an forbids usury/interest. They teach from child hood in Islamic schools (madrasa’s) that the Templars, not the Rothschilds founded the first international banking system around 1100 A.D. in Jerusalem. The Templars were a non-Islamic religious order dedicated to serving the church during the Crusades. They quickly became the world’s greatest international banking empire. By 1190 A.D., The Templars had murdered, pillaged and raped the Islamic people. They were allowed to keep the spoils captured from the Muslims.  The Templars grew into full-service bankers and that model laid the foundation for the current banking system used today. The Muslims were locked out of that system and had to start their own secret financial and economic system. Hawala was born. Terrorist organizations get much of their cash by what is known as Hawala – an informal Islamic banking and brokering world system. This terrorist trust advances money among members on a simple hand shake, chits, credits and encrypted passwords.

It is believed that the US has intensified its war on terrorism on the financial front, targeting this ancient, informal system of money transfers that officials believe funneled millions of dollars to Osama Bin Laden's al-Qaeda network. And is still being used today.

Hawala, has been used for hundreds of years to move money across distances and around legal and financial barriers in South Asia and the Middle East.

Arab traders used it on the Silk Road to avoid being robbed, and now millions of Pakistanis, Indians and others working abroad use the hawala system to send money home to their families.

Billions of dollars flow through this informal and anonymous system, and officials believe that al-Qaeda is using the system to move money to its operatives around the world.

Hawala works as well in remote regions as it does from the back of a jewelry store in LA’s jewelry district or in Gallup New

Mexico and now with a special thanks to the internet millions of additional dollars move daily. US investigators would do well to research the old ways of the Muslims and culture and learn how they do business and how it is most unlike our systems of the west. In fact they do things almost in the opposite way of the west. In fact a good start would be to learn their language. Particularly damning for intelligence agencies after 9/11 were reports that only a handful of agents throughout CIA spoke fluent Arabic or Pharsi. Though never confirmed officially, sources familiar with the situation in 2001 say that outside the eavesdropping analysts at the National Security Agency, less than a dozen CIA field agents could speak the language spoken by the groups that were the consensus favorites to mount attacks on America.
New agents are hard to find, but Congress and the American public are tired of hearing it.

 

According to the US government Saudi businessmen pay Al-Qaeda millions in protection money often using some form of Hawala. Al- Qaeda fighters generate cash by protecting drug lords and drug shipments. They have run scams on the Internet designed to swindle Americans (see insert or side bar) and Israelis into false, get rich quick schemes and credit card fraud. Drug money is an important source of capital for the terrorist these funds are also hard to trace. Terrorist finance the cultivation of poppies for harvesting and the manufacture of high grade Heroin and opium. This is then transported by everyone from fishermen to cab drivers and sold on the open world markets. Authorities believe top terrorist operatives work in the Honey trade they control the honey retailers throughout the Arab, Pakistan and Afghan world. Their products also reach other markets globally. I know before the advent of the Federal Reserve and now sustained by terror groups, their sponsors, terror states, many so called charities, drug trafficking and various and sundry legitimate and not legitimate businesses, corporations and other affiliates around the world is becoming known as the Terrorist Economy.

Over the last decade the new economy of terror has merged with the international illegal drug and criminal economy and together they generate a yearly turnover of $1.5 trillion (£0.89 trillion) equivalent to 5% of world GDP. This elusive economic system is the structure that supports and nurtures global terror.

Terrorist actions are accelerating what I have been warning my readers about for the past several years, I warned you about a single, shocking and dangerous cri­sis that was about to sink the U.S. stock market ‑ the tech wreck, the accounting swindles and the broker lies.

And just as I warned, these three crises took 78% off the NASDAQ ... 51% off the S&P 500 ... 39% off of the Dow ‑ and nicked investors to the tune of $10.5 TRILLION from peak to valley.

But not us! No, we have used these chaotic events to double and redouble our money over the past many months by buying Silver and now I’m buying silver dollars. Silver is up over 50% and growing from the silver we got at around $3.50.

Now, I warn of the greatest threat so far ‑ an impending crisis being accelerated by the most recent terror attacks like in Spain and impending attacks in many other parts of Europe and as I have predicted in the past attacks in America by Islamic radicals or there supporters that will trip trigger the most difficult years yet for America and Americans.

 

I’m warning anyone with more than $100,000 in savings to withdraw it immediately. Don’t Walk—

RUN To The Nearest Branch of your bank And MOVE YOUR MONEY NOW!

 

Just when you thought things couldn’t get any worse, your stocks and equity funds are about to be lost by the damdest-banking and money crisis since 1932. Wall Street stockbrokers and other financial planners laughed when I warned of an Impending TECH WRECK in early 2000, we got out in late 1998 and early 1999. And we have been buying more silver every since. They chuckled out loud in 2001 when I cautioned that US corporations were cooking their books, and would be caught red-handed and the news would smash the blue chips. And in early 2002, cocky brokers nearly laughed themselves silly when I warned that the government and the high and mighty of Wall Street were about to be exposed as liars, cheats and thieves.

Many times I was right.  Each time, these events cost Americans like you billions of dollars.  The silver strategies I wrote about SOARED. Silver has been on a run-up---But silver is still cheap. A very relative small amount of money buys a lot of silver. Now I’m issuing the most disturbing forecast ever. The demise of the Federal Reserve Note as we know it.  Heed it, and you’ll escape the greatest destruction of Private wealth in our lifetimes.

 

I do hope you listen this time ‑ for a verity of important reasons: I absolutely believe it is imperative that we as a nation we insulate our money RIGHT AWAY. Please un­derstand ‑ I'm not anti-American in fact I love this country. But I’m not talking about just dump­ing your stocks, bonds and stuffing the money into your mattress ‑ or equally bad, into banks, CDs, treasuries and other investments that insult you with miserly returns. Far from it! I want to share the same strategies that I told to my readers of “For Your Eyes Only” solid gains over the last 12 months ‑ enough to nearly DOUBLE there MONEY.

This new crisis is about to open the floodgates of windfall PROFIT opportunities for the average American… for a change. I'm talking about the same kinds of opportunities that allowed me to do what I do and share it with my readers.

I’m documenting the perilous condition of America's banks and our currency and revealing why I am convinced that the greatest bank and dollar crisis in decades is now a very real possibility.

Some giant U.S. banks will be at risk for failure ‑ and even just ONE major collapse is likely to trigger a devastating chain reaction ... and send shockwaves throughout the entire world economy.

Such a catastrophe will help drive the Dow below 5,000 ... knock the NASDAQ down to below 800 ... and bring much of the world's financial system to ruins. I’m  insulating my assets from the carnage to come. I’m buying more silver.

I’m revealing how I can own the little‑known and seldom‑used strategies that are designed to SKY ROCKET at times like this. I’m sharing my Silver, Gold and Chinese Plays along with my Silver Dollar strategies.

I invite you to send for my comprehensive Limited Liability Company offer to provide the vehicle that should be part of your strategies to protect your assets. Silver is America's most powerful money‑making, money­saving tool ‑ tools I personally designed to get you through this crisis without a scratch.

Please ‑ I urge you: Act now to preserve your money and actually profit from the coming disasters.

 


 

As U.S. bank failures are DOUBLING, loan and mortgage defaults are SOARING, bank revenues are FALLING, credit card payments has fallen behind more now than at any other time in our history, their stocks are CRASHING.  and now, TRILLIONS of dollars‑worth of investments that Warren Buffet calls "financial weapons of mass destruction" are poised to explode in bankers' faces!"

ESSENTIAL URGENT SELF-DEFENSE:  In my opinion we MUST IMMEDIATELY insulate what's left of our STOCKS, our  SAVINGS and our RETIREMENT from the coming bank , real estate and money failure epidemic.

So we can as a people survive the financial shock waves of terror which will accelerate bank and American dollar failures that will be felt around the world.

 

 

The terrorist economy is the most cataclysmic destruction of personal wealth in our lifetimes‑ the greatest banking panic in over 70 years‑has ALREADY BEGUN:

J.P. Morgan Chase's stock has plunged from $39.68 a share to a recent low of $15.26 per share. Precisely 61.5% of the bank's market value‑$48 billion‑was wiped out. That's more than the total market value of Wachovia Bank ...and more than the combined total losses investors suffered in the bankruptcy of Adelphia Communications, Kmart, and Polaroid!

All in one bank! All in just 139 days!

Hard to believe, isn't it? J.P. Morgan Chase ‑ the second‑largest bank in the United States ... with $742 billion in total assets ... 900 branches ... over 30 million retail customers! And there it was, losing nearly two‑thirds of its total market value in less than five months!

But J.P. Morgan Chase is only the tip of the banking iceberg. From the beginning of this century to the most recent bough, Morgan Stanley lost a staggering 52% of its total market value ‑or $34 billion ... FleetBoston lost 53°/r and has just been  was brought up by off shore interest Bank of America, or $20 billion ... and Citigroup shares fell 53%, for a $132 billion loss.

 

All told, the shares of the 100 largest banks in America lost a whopping $215 billion in total market value!

The first cracks are already appearing in the banking establishment. Outright bank FAILURES DOUBLED since 2002. Hamilton Bank, NextBank N.A., Connecticut Bank of Commerce, Oakwood Deposit Bank Company, Bank of Alamo and many others went down in flames with more than $2 billion in deposits.

And get this: A large chunk of those deposits were NOT insured by the FDIC! When the Connecticut Bank of Commerce failed in June 2002, for example, a whopping 25% of the deposits were uninsured. Depositors - most of whom never dreamed they'd be broken by a bank panic-lost MILLIONS!

This is the prelude to a great American banking crash. And the crisis is accelerating. Nearly every major U.S. bank is facing severe revenue losses. Many - including the three largest banks in America are holding EXTREMELY risky real paper and other risky investments in their portfolios.

Mark my words: In the months ahead, you are going to see at least one big-name bank hit the chopping block. And when that happens, you're going to see widespread panic among savers and investors from coast to coast.

Hundreds of marginal banks will be pushed to the brink of failure. Uninsured deposits in failing banks will be rendered virtually worthless. Even insured depositors may suffer serious inconveniences including temporary loss of immediate access to their money.

I predict that many real estate lenders such as giant Countrywide will fail without mayor bailouts. The shockwaves of countrywide and other less than prime real estate mortgage lenders will slam into Wall Street like a giant tidal wave. Bank stocks will be hammered to a pulp. Other financial stocks, such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, insur­ance stocks and brokerage stocks, will get creamed. And when this panic fully grips the banking sector, it's going to take the rest of the stock market and the banks and the dollar down with it. The dollar is already at its lowest value since its inception. The terrorist know what’s happening and they are doing everything they can to help make it happen and happen sooner rather than later.

The terrorist system operates outside of our system. They conduct business with a hard to trace hand shake. Little or no money or paper trial. Our countries investigators FBI, ICE, CIA, IRS, DEA, Secret Service and others are all trained to fellow the paper and/or the money trial. The problem with that is the terrorist is not using FRNS or checks drawn on regular bank accounts, Very little bank and wire transfers to follow. The terrorist are minting their own gold coins and using gold Dinars to transact business. The Islamic GOLD Dinar its now believed and suggested by most radical Islamic clergy that all trading partners in the Islamic world should all use the gold Dinar. This appears to be politically motivated, as one of its main aims appears to be to reduce the dependence of the Islamic world on the US (satin’s) dollar and to further reduce its value on a global scale. It may also be intended to attack the value of the dollar by means of Islamic nations and their people, selling dollars and switching into gold Dinars. Malaysia has stated openly it hopes that other non-Muslim countries would also use the gold Dinar, although this may have been to deflect any criticism of the scheme as a closed-shop Muslims only, anti-western club.

What dollars are generated by the terrorist activities are immediately exchanged for gold. Which can be used as money most places in the world. Which is very difficult to trace. And they never pay taxes.

 

I know the Dow has already lost all of its gains of 2006 and in the 2nd quarter of 2007 and the NASDAQ a staggering 75°/r of its value. But the Dow and NASDAQ has lost all of its gains so far for 2006  ‑and the average blue chip stock's valuation of 28 times earnings is still 75% HIGHER than the historical average!

As investors begin to realize just how much trouble the financial sector is in ... as the number of failed banks continues to rise ... and especially when a big‑name bank bites the dust, what little is left of investor confi­dence will be SHATTERED. Mil­lions will stampede for the stock market exits. And the stock market will collapse like the feeble house of cards that it truly is.

When that happens, stunned inves­tors will lose yet ANOTHER 50°k ... 75%0 ... even 90% of their money. Millions of dollars more in retirement nest eggs will be wiped out. Baby boomers will be lift holding an empty bag.

Mark my words ...Unless you take action NOW, YOU WILL be one of the victims!

A failure at your bank‑ or your insurance company ‑ could lock you OUT of your savings accounts until regulators sort things out. And of course, every UNINSURED dollar you have on deposit would be in grave danger of being vaporized.

But this great American banking and monetary disaster threatens much more than just your savings. Even though your bank may survive, this crisis puts the value of EVERYTHING YOU OWN at risk. Your house, stocks, your bonds. And all  your real estate. Including your annuities and your retirement. Maybe even your paycheck.

If the Great Bank rush of 1932 taught us anything, it's this: When major U.S. banks hit the skids, the economic house of cards comes tumbling down. The last vestiges of faith in the stability of the U.S. economy ... the dollar ... and every asset you own are threatened.

At a time like that, Gold and silver is king. Millions of families will dump everything in a last, desperate attempt to get their hands on gold and silver. Nearly every other store of value gets hammered into the ground. And anyone clinging to paper assets or real estate during the panic risks financial ruin.

We must heed this warning and take a few simple steps to get our money to safety, so we can weather the coming storm with our wealth‑and income ‑ intact.

More than that, we together can USE this looming crisis to double, triple, even QUADRUPLE our MONEY.

This can help to make SURE we’re NEVER locked away from our money ‑ not even for one second -  no matter HOW bad things get.

 

                                                       The Stocks of America's Biggest Banks are in a Free Fall!

From peak to  trough in 2002, the stocks of America's biggest banks have taken a bath. Take a look ...

J.P. Morgan Chase

Citigroup

Fleet Boston

Merrill Lynch

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter

Goldman Sachs

Lehman Brothers

Down 61.5%

Down 53%

Down 53%

Down 52%

Down 52%

Down 40%

Down 39%

 

What I’ve been doing for years is helping to find money, help grow it and help to protect it.

In short my strategies will help us protect every dollar we own by exchanges for silver dollars, while we pile up truly exciting profits.

Your getting the advance warning ... the strategies ... and the practical tools designed to help us all emerge from the crisis of the terrorist economy not only un­scathed‑but wealthier than we thought possible.

These are not investments they are strategies designed to guard our savings ... our assets ... our retirement‑and also help us to pile up profits in silver.

 

Massive loan losses are hitting U.S. banks like a ton of bricks!

America's banks are now being plagued by the highest percentage of bad loans in more than a decade:

J.P Morgan Chase, the nation's largest corporate lender, recently announced that its losses from bad loans quadrupled in a single quarter ‑rocketing up from $302 million in the second quarter of 2002 to $1.4 billion in the third quarter of 2002!

In the third quarter of last year, Citibank saw its bad loans jump from $5.2 billion to a staggering $8.4 billion. That's up 60% from the same period in 2001.

Fleet NB's bad loans surged by 33%r to $3.1 billion ... Bank One suffered a whopping 89% increase in bad loans to $2.5 billion ... Deutsche Bank‑up 75% to $1.6 billion!

Believe it or not, in just the first three months of 2003, bad loans cost U.S. banks an astounding 522.6 billion ‑more than they lost in all of 1999. Meanwhile, the firm, Weiss Ratings, the nation's leading independent provider of ratings and analysis, re­ports that the number of bank loans likely to go into default shot up to $68.9 billion on September 30, 2002.

Why are the banks getting smacked so hard? Because they've been at the epicenter of nearly every major eco­nomic catastrophe of the last few years.

 

 

In 2002, U.S. banks were hammered by FIVE of the 10 largest corporate bankruptcies in U.S. history!

When the tech bubble burst ... when the telecom bubble exploded ... and when a wave of bankruptcies swept through major U.S. firms, U.S. banks were left holding the bag for billions of dollars worth of loans that may NEVER be paid back:

Enron, worldcom, Global Crossing, the fifth‑largest bankruptcy in U.S. history, still owes U.S. banks and others more than $12.4 billion.

Banks are still holding the bag for the huge unpaid debts at Kmart, Budget Group, GenTek, Kaiser Aluminum Corp, McLeod USA, Metromedia, US Airways, Williams Communications, NTL‑ all companies that filed for Chapter 11 in 2002.

In telecom, cable and energy, Bank of America, J.P Morgan Chase and 11 other major U.S. banks will be forced to write off $4.9 billion in bad loans.

In the wake of Kmart's bankruptcy, J.P. Morgan Chase has taken a $117.8 million loss; FleetBoston Financial a $ 119.9 million loss. Martha Stewart stock has plummeted since her conviction and will have far reaching negative losses for many of Martha’s suppliers, vendors and retailers.

And don't forget Enron! J.P. Mor­gan Chase has had to write off $450 million of its $2.6 billion loan to Enron ‑with more giant write‑offs to come.

And even after those spectacular failures, the banks are still on the hook for TRILLIONS of dollars worth of loans to corporations and real estate lenders ‑many of which are struggling just to survive.

 

Right now, U.S. companies are reeling from a staggering debt load that now totals S4.9 trillion, or 57.1 % of corporate net worth.

Think about what that means: More than half of all shareholder wealth is in stock!

In fact, total private debt in this country is nearly TWICE the gross domestic product (GDP). It's never NEVER ‑been this bad before!

Heck, even in 1974. before the second‑worst recession and bear market of the 20th century, the total debt burden (public and private) was still considerably LESS than GDP In 1974, there was less than $1.00 in private debt for each dollar of GDP. Today, it's over $2.00!

That would be bad enough‑but many major companies are also losing money like crazy. Where are they going to get the money to meet their debt obligations? Who in their right mind would dare loan these dying companies more money?

No wonder huge companies are going broke left and right! Just look at today's headlines: American Airlines, US Air, United and HealthSouth were in the process of going under. My research shows that Gateway, Earthlink, Lucent Technologies, Nortel Networks, Rite Aid, Sprint PCS and many others are at high risk for bankruptcy, too.

Plus ...

Qwest Communications is struggling under $22 BILLION of debt ‑ more than THREE TIMES the company's total market value!

Meanwhile, Qwest is losing money hand over fist: It posted a massive $35.9 BILLION LOSS last year alone! At that rate it will be IMPOSSIBLE for the company to repay what it owes the banks!

Sprint PCS is laboring under a massive $16 billion debt load more than FOUR TIMES its $4 billion market value ‑and like Qwest, Sprint is posting huge losses.

Corning owes $4.2 billion ­and is losing more than $1.3 bil­lion a year!

Lucent owes more than $3.4 billion and is losing nearly $11.7 BILLION a year!

Nortel Networks owes $4.1 billion ... and has lost more than $30.9 BILLION in 2001 and 2002!

I could go on, and on, and ON. The simple fact is, hundreds of for­merly solid U.S. companies are in similar peril ‑ they can't ever hope to pay back all the debts coming due. And U.S. banks are holding the losing ticket on a massive portion of these liabilities. All of this before the terrorist’s second shoe drops on America.

Normally, you'd expect to see this kind of debt crisis in a deep recession. But the U.S. economy is NOT yet in a deep recession but soon will be. Banks will be absolutely buried under an ava­lanche of bad paper. Bank

Banks are now holding TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS worth of the high‑risk investments Warren Buffet just called "financial Weapons of Mass Destruction"

In a greed‑induced effort to pad their profits, U.S. banks have made trillions of dollars worth of highly leveraged, highly‑complex, and highly‑dangerous bets with other financial institutions.

These bets ‑ which bankers prefer to call "investments'‑are known as derivatives.

Please don't worry if the very term makes your eyes glaze over. You don't have to understand how they work to understand how dangerous they can be.

Many derivatives are investments that were created to help protect against losses. But some of the most aggressive money center banks are also using them as vehicles for specu­lative profits. And because they're so highly leveraged, they expose banks to massive risk of loss.

Text Box:  
Bad Loans are KILLING America’s Biggest Banks!  U.S. banks are experiencing the biggest explosion of bad loans in history.  And with those bad loans come record losses that have put the entire banking system in peril.  Take a look…
BAD LOAN LOSSES:    Citibank 72% $8.3b        JP Morgan Chase 66% $2.9b     Wachovia Bank 36% $2.1b         
Bank One 87%  $2.3b    Fleet 78% $3.3b            U.S. Bank 102% $1.4 b              Merrill Lynch 145% $214m          
World Savings 31% $318m                                Lasalle Bank 60% $472m          Deutche Bank TC 76% $1b         
I could go on and on with example after example – but you get the picture.  America’s banks are in trouble – and things are only going to get worse in the months ahead.  If just one of these big banks goes belly-up, it will set off a chain reaction of bank failures that will bring much of our financial system to its knees.  
           

 

"High leverage" means that de­rivatives can cost banks many times more than they invest. Whereas even the most disastrous stock trade can only cost a bank 100% of its invested

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Text Box: Why Bank Panics Trigger Stock Market Meltdowns
At this point, a major banking crisis is already on the way.  And a major bank failure could be the catalyst for a meltdown of the U.S. stock market.  Here’s how:  First, expect more corporate failures and bankruptcies, including multi-billion-dollar companies in business for decades.  Second, each bankruptcy will cause a whole new series of serious losses for banks.  Third, in anticipation of those losses, expect the shares of major banks to plunge another 50% or more.  Fourth, the collapse in bank stocks will merely be the vanguard for a similar collapse in the Dow and Nasdaq.  Finally, don’t be surprised to see some major bank failures, fueled by a derivatives disaster or by corporate bankruptcies.  When that happens, all bets are off!  Wall Street will reel, driven down by a collapse in nearly all financial stocks…whether a bank or an insurance company…whether the company is well managed or not…whether it’s vulnerable to failure or well capitalized.  The Dow, driven by bank failures and corporate bankruptcies plus a sharp decline in earnings in almost every sector will plunge to 5000 to even lower  Confidence will be shattered – and more banks will fail and more companies will default.  Before you know it we’ll be in the midst of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

Text Box:  
Derivatives Exposure at the Top 25 Commercial Banks and Trust Companies.  America’s 408 banks and trust companies have assets totaling just over $3.4 trillion.  Yet, they own risky derivatives with a face value of almost TEN TIMES their assets – a whopping $53 trillion  Amazingly, 99% of that $53 trillion is concentrated at just 25 banks.  And almost half of it is held by just one bank:  J.P. Morgan Chase!  Here are the actual figures, as reported by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. {table of 25 banks and pie chart}  Though J.P. Morgan Chase only holds 11% of the nation’s bank assets, it holds 49% of derivatives – or $6.28 at risk for ever $1 of risk-based capital in it’s accounts.  U.S. GDP: $10 Trillion  Pie Size: $53 Trillion  JPM Notional Amount: $26 Trillion

 

 

 

 


 

A losing derivatives trade can cost banks up to 100 times the amount invested.

That's just one reason Warren Buffet recently called derivatives "financial weapons of mass destruction." There are more:

1. Because of the leverage involved. even a small move in the financial markets can create hundreds of billions of dollars in losses.

2. U.S. banks now hold an almost unbelievable $53 TRILLION in derivatives - that's an amount equal to FIVE TIMES this nation's entire gross domestic product!

3. The LARGEST banks in the U.S. are taking the BIGGEST derivatives risks of all. A staggering 96% of the derivatives are held by just SEVEN of America's biggest banks: J. P.  Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citibank, Wachovia, Wells Fargo, Bank One and HSBC.

4. And get this: The three LARGEST banks in America actually have MORE dollars at risk in derivatives than they have in capital (after adjusting for some risk factors)! Bank of America has 194% more derivatives risk than capital ... Citibank has 197% more ... and J.P. Morgan Chase has a shocking 628% more.

That's enough derivatives exposure to nearly WIPE OUT America's largest banks! In fact. a meager 16% loss on these investments is all it would take to completely wipe Out J.P. Morgan Chase's risk-based capital!

Problem: Even in boom times, those derivative investments can quickly turn into spectacular losses. In times like these, the risk is even greater.

Some classic examples:

 

* Barings Bank, a 223-year-old pillar of British banking: It was obliterated and driven out of business by a series of poor derivative investments that resulted in losses of more than $1.3 billion.

Orange County California, one of America's wealthiest counties:

 

It lost $1.7 billion thanks to poor derivatives investments by the county treasurer. Though Merrill Lynch.

Enron: The accounting scandals got all the press. But it was primarily Enron's losses in derivatives that brought the company down.

Long Term Capital Management (LCTM), an offshore hedge fund: When Russia defaulted on tens of billions of dollars worth of its bonds, LCTM was suddenly unable to meet billions of dollars worth of financial obligations to big U.S. banks and other parties. In fact, the derivatives losses from just this one fund were so great they threatened the global financial system!

Union Bank of Switzerland was also hammered by the Russian default to the tune of $240 million. Chase Manhattan lost $160 million. Deutsche Bank lost $700 million. And Credit Lyonnais lost a whopping $2 billion.

Virtually nobody else is telling you what's really going on here. Nobody else is offering you a way to insulate your money. And NOBODY is offering you an arsenal of investment weapons that will SOAR in value as these failures pound stocks into the ground.

 

The Consumer Credit Real Estate Bubble is about to burst!

The amount of money American households owe on credit cards and other debts is truly obscene‑and growing more ridiculous with each passing month. More Americans are now unable to pay their credit card debt than ever before.

Altogether, households owe a mind‑boggling   $7.7 TRILLION about $74,047 for every American household. Think of it: The average American household brings in about $42,000 per year, but owes a mind blowing $74,047 in debt!

Credit card debt is the most dangerous of all. When the homeowner defaults on their mortgage and will at an all time record, the bank gets the house. But when cardholders go bankrupt, banks rarely recover even a penny of that debt. Reason: Every penny is unsecured!

And right now, with unemployment skyrocketing. Americans are going bankrupt in record numbers. Just in the past year, 1,465,027 families filed for bankruptcy ‑ the highest number EVER. And worst of all, this disturbing trend appears to be accelerating. Americans have little or no savings.

This is an absolute nightmare for banks. Its a razor‑sharp dagger at their throats. And the banks are already beginning to bleed. More Americans are delinquent on credit card payments than at any other time in U.S. history. Outright defaults on credit card debt soared to nearly 8% in 2002 ... and are expected to soar even higher in the next few years.

And that's even BEFORE a significant decline in the economy! Imagine the tidal wave of losses that will hit the banks as the economy continues to deteriorate!

 

Bank Revenues Are Already Falling off a CLIFF!

The deadly one‑two‑three punch of 1) corporate loan defaults, 2) consumer bankruptcies and credit card defaults and 3) massive investment losses have already begun to slash bank and financial firm revenues:

• Bank of America's revenues declined by 13% in 2002.

• J.P. Morgan's revenues declined 14% in 2002.

• Fleet NB's revenues fell 14%.

• World Savings Bank FIB reported a 16% decline in revenues.

• Keybank NA posted a 17% decline in revenues.

• Bank of New York's revenues contracted by 19%.

 

Don't believe a bank panic has begun? Ask someone who used to WORK for one!

Massive layoffs are the fifth RED ALERT of banking troubles ahead. It means that bank managers themselves are finally recognizing the decline is not a flash in the pan. It is fundamental, long term and spreading rapidly. That's why.

• J.P. Morgan Chase has announced it's laying off 4,000 employees, on top of the 10,000 that were laid off after the merger with Chase Manhattan in 2000. Between these two rounds of layoffs alone, a whopping 25% of its employees have been sent packing.

• Credit Suisse First Boston announced that it is laying off 7,500 employees, or roughly 7% of its global workforce, in an effort to lower its costs.

Goldman Sachs Group plans on cutting about 10% of its investment banking division on top of the 2,800 jobs it axed in the past 12 months.

Providian Financial is cutting 27% of its workforce, or 2,600 employees.

Lloyds TSB, Wachovia Bank, A.G. Edwards, John Hancock Financial, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, State Street, Dresdner Bank, Commerzbank, Lehman Brothers, Credit Lyonnais and UBS Warburg are all announcing cutbacks.

In the past 18 months, the industry has eliminated more than 54,000 jobs in the U.S., and that excludes the thousands of job cuts that banking officials have announced but have not yet implemented.

 

Lasalle Bank's revenues plunged 59%.

These irresponsible bankers are now facing the bloodiest CRASH in more than 70 Years!

Could ANYTHING keep this banking panic from accelerating? I don't think so. The economy would have to miraculously surge back to life ... consumers would have to suddenly decide to start buying like crazy ... corporations would have to spend billions on new equipment and hire new employees… and investors would have to throw what's left of their money back into the stock market.

And even if all that happened right now‑today‑the damage that has already been done to U.S. banks would take months to heal.

In short, it would take a miracle make that a whole raft of miracles to stop this crisis. And unfortunately, there just aren't any on the horizon. On the contrary: Every piece of economic data I examine is screaming, "More trouble ahead!"

Remember: Today's crash in bank stocks and last years DOUBLING of bank failures occurred in an economy that was still growing, albeit slowly. And unless I miss my guess, it will CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE even without a major downturn or a triggered terrorist event.

But any hiccup ... any darkening of the economic picture ... will send corporate failures skyrocketing and will slam banks with an even MORE devastating tidal wave of loan failures‑driving what little is left of investor confidence into the ground.

Listen‑there's a limit to how much investors can take: An invisible psychological barrier that, once violated, can never be restored. Already this generation's trust in Wall Street has taken a series of blows that will be difficult to heal.

But as this banking crisis accelerates in 2007 and 2008, what's left of investor confidence is going to vanish. And you're going to see the same kind of carnage our parents saw following the Great Crash of 1929.

You saw what happened in 2002 as revelations of accounting frauds at Enron, Xerox, Qwest, WorldCom and other firms hit the headlines: The average NYSE stock plummeted 32% in the first ten months of 2003!

More importantly, millions of disillusioned investors simply took what was left of their money and went home. It will be a cold day in hell when they trust Wall Street again, or are tempted to throw good money after bad in stocks. Many of them couldn't even do it if they wanted to. Their life savings are gone, their homes endanger, their retirement nest eggs in ruins gas at all time highs.

Others are still just clenching their teeth and holding on for dear life‑ hoping, praying for a miracle that will raise their decimated stocks from the dead. The worst of all scenarios is here now the dollar is at its lowest value and inflation is getting ready to rear its hugely head.

Text Box: …
 

 

Name

 

City

State

Assets

($mil)

Weiss

Safety Rating

You’ll find much more in your FREE copy of The Great Bank Panic of 2003 – 2004 – including a list of both the 50 safest and the 50 most dangerous large banks in America – plus a free rating on YOUR bank.  

 

Bay View Bank

First Premier Bank

Matrix Capital Bank

Scotiabank De PR

Encore Bank

Fremont Investment & Loan

Ocean Bank

Union FB

NetBank

Providian Bank

San Mateo

Souix Falls

Denver

Hato Rey

Houston

Anaheim

Miami

Indianapolis

Alpharetta

Salt Lake City

CA

SD

CO

PR

TX

CA

FL

IN

GA

UT

3660

956

1523

1410

1365

5578

4121

3299

3290

1924

E-

D-

D-

D-

D-

D

D

D

D

D

Scale: A = excellent, B = good, C = fair. D = weak, E = very weak.  Data as of 6/30/2002

 

 

But the ranks of these die‑hard optimists are thinning. And each new revelation of earnings fraud, corporate chicanery and brokerage corruption will drive many more away from Wall Street.

Private investors are already using short-term rallies to dump their stocks -thus killing every new rally and leaving the market at new lows.

Mutual funds have been caught cheating there stock holders and mutual fund investors are beginning to yank their money out too ... stock mutual funds reported net redemptions of $28 billion in 2002 and outflows continued in 2003 and are continuing in 2004,2005 and 2006 at an alarming rate.

Worst of all, foreign money-the money that boosted the American economy and markets throughout the 1990s - is now beginning to flee from our shores. Europeans and Japanese who used to see the U.S. as their model, mentor and safe haven are pulling out too.

 

This is an extremely dangerous situation: Foreign investors mostly China have nearly $3 trillion in the U.S. If they pull out just 10% of that money, the Dow could tumble hundreds of points each day. We know, because that's exactly what happened in the two greatest crashes of the 20th century in the crash of '29 and then AGAIN in the crash of ' 87!

 

Now, with a major banking and paper money crisis about to hit the headlines, the other shoe is about to drop - HARD.

Terrorist attacks in Europe and then here at home mark my words it is the terrorist intentions to not only kill Americans abroad and at home but to kill America’s allies and any American sympathizers: And with that destroy the worlds economy. Shortly after that starts happening you will start to see corporations start defaulting in mass ... when derivatives plays begin blowing up ... when just ONE large bank nears failure, investors will be terrified and you're going to see the Dow crash to 5000 and probably lower. The Nasdaq will be crushed to 800.

 

Don't get fooled by the rallies!

 

Sure - you're going to see explosive. short-term stock market rallies from time to time. They're to be expected in a giant bear market like this one. Unfortunately, though, these surges do more harm than good they lure desperately optimistic investors back into stocks, only to eviscerate them -time and again. Remember there can not be any lasting recovery with out jobs and so far in 2004 there very few and nowhere near the current administrations projections.

 

There have ALREADY been many major rallies in the Dow and the NASDAQ.  Each time, millions of investors became convinced that the bear market was over. And each time, the rally proved to be a cruel hoax-a TRAP that slammed those investors for more big losses!

 

The simple truth is, the bear market CANNOT end ... the next bull market CANNOT begin ... until there are no more major terrorist attacks or even threats of attacks here at home or other hidden shocks waiting to ambush these rallies and crush them before they can take root.

 

Right now, there are still far too much government and corporate debt ... still too many yet-to-be-revealed accounting and earnings frauds ... and too many banks and paper money teetering on the edge of disaster except the Federal Reserve Bankers they will survive.

 

We need to Shield our assets before the coming BANK and paper money failures! And before another large terrorist attack. And before inflation takes hold.

 

The stock market pain you've suffering right now is only a sneak preview of the troubles to come. Inflation is starting to rear its hugely head. Energy prices are soaring and will cause all products and services to raise. Inflation is the governments best friend. Inflation is like a tax increase and is a windfall to both Government and huge corporations. While the middle class and the poor pay dearly.

 

Real Estate Bubble:

After years of price run-up's, people started buying homes not to live in but for investment purposes. In 2004 and 2005 a whopping 40% of all homes sold were for second homes or for investment purposes.

The above happened in spite of the fact that home prices to wages relationships, and home prices to rental prices had both risen 4 standard deviations above norm.

Credit standards steadily declined to rock bottom levels such that anyone who could fog a mirror could get a loan

Lenders passed on risk to hedge funds, pension plans, etc who could not get enough of what eventually will become toxic waste, but at the time seemed like a good idea. Risk yield spreads collapsed as people started assuming prices of houses would never decline.

Fannie Mae lost trillions in derivative hedging as interest rates gyrated but no one really cared.

Homebuilders provided down payments via charities to those who could not afford to buy a house. The IRS has been looking into this practice and it may be illegal.

Magazine covers, books, and financial wizards of all sort were touting "Buy now before prices rise further".

All sorts of creative financial products were unleashed on the unwary.

As the pool of eligible and willing buyers shrank, sub prime loans, pay option arms, and stated income loans soared as a percentage of all loans. Anything and everything was done to keep the bubble expanding.

The masses embraced the trend just as it was ending.

Panic buying reached a peak in the Summer of 2005 with people camping out overnight in Florida to buy condos for ridiculous prices hoping to flip them. No one bothered to figure out there was no one to flip them to.

David Lereah, chief propagandist for the National Association of Realtors, published the same book twice. His book "Are You Missing the Real Estate Boom?" was published in February 2005 about 6 months before the peak. One year later in February 2006 (about 6 months after the peak) Lereah retitled his book "Why the Real Estate Boom Will Not Bust—And How You Can Profit from It."

Pent up demand collapsed and home sales plunged. The pool of greater fools, reached its pinnacle, depending on location, somewhere between Summer of 2005 and Winter of 2007.

The unwinding process has really just started.

Given that the housing boom lasted for close to 20 years and sustained panic buying happened over a 3-5 year period, selling capitulation and inventory work off can easily take 7 years or more. We are nowhere close to selling exhaustion.

Global wage arbitrage, outsourcing, rising bankruptcies, and rising unemployment will ensure this process will take a long time to fully unwind.

Prices will continue to fall until bankruptcies and selling exhaustion are in.

Yes that is a long process, but the duration and magnitude of the housing bubble (really a credit bubble) is unlike anything the world has ever seen before, and thus very hard to overstate.

 

Inflation.

Wall Street is declaring inflation dead, the Fed has unleashed torrents of fiat money.

 

In the chaotic financial world following the horrible terrorist attacks.  The United States Federal Reserve, lapsed into an unmitigated-panic mode following the tragic events of September 11.  As central bankers will be central bankers, the only thing the Fed knows how to do is create money out of nothing and attempt to solve our problems with printing fresh money.  If you are ever curious what response the average central bank will have for any conceivable crisis or situation under the sun, the answer will always be “run the printing presses to provide liquidity”.  To central bankers, this is always the “prudent and necessary” course of action.

It is crucial to understand inflation and money.  Webster’s dictionary defines inflation in two ways.  First, inflation is a “persistent, substantial rise in the general level of prices related to an increase in the volume of money and resulting in the loss of value of currency”. Webster’s second definition of inflation is “the act of inflating”.  Today there is a horrible disservice being rendered to investors worldwide by the shallow financial media when they talk of inflation.  Per popular media propaganda, the widespread definition of inflation today has been truncated to only “a rise in prices”.  The ultimate cause as well as the leading indicator of inflation, central banks ramping up fiat currencies, is totally ignored. 

The official government stats that purport to track inflation, like the CPI, are perpetually and intentionally low-balled to save the government money.  The lower the officially reported inflation rate, the less the government has to pay out in its pension programs and in interest on its debt.  Understating inflation also has the unpleasant side effect of artificially hiding important financial warnings of impending inflation from the marketplace and investors.  Due to these statistical games, most people today blindly believe the popular hype that there is little inflation in the United States.
My definition of inflation is a dreaded monetary disease that will kill our nation costs of goods go up and the dollar goes down. Inflation is often defined as: too much money chasing too few goods. In a word inflation is pure and simple theft of the people. And is a form of embezzlement and legalized counterfeiting. 
Yet, as the premier American English dictionary points out, inflation is not just the results, but the very act of inflating, increasing the money supply. 

Alan Greenspan and his interventionist Fed, continuing their disastrous track record of market manipulation after first fomenting, then nurturing, and finally popping the greatest market bubble in world history, continued to do exactly the wrong thing after the horrible events of September 11.  Greenspan and his gang ran the proverbial printing presses like never before, pumping enough money into the US economy in the first week after the attacks to make banana-republic money debasement schemes look conservative.

If you had told me one month before the attacks that Greenspan, even though he is a world-champion inflationist, would have the sheer audacity to balloon the money supply at an almost 175% annualized rate, I would not have believed it.  Yet, after the attacks, the Fed decided it was prudent to throw the hard lessons of financial history to the winds and literally deluge the US financial system with freshly created fiat money.  It was an extraordinary monetary event.

Inflation is the way to raise taxes without putting it to a vote. The government and the bankers love inflation. Inflation is artificially created by governments  as is the government’s deliberate manipulation of the money supply is all for their benefit but at a great cost to the people. If you don’t believe inflation is here just look at the gas pumps. As energy cost go up everything else goes up. Energy is the engine that’s driving inflation on the surface. 

 When new money is created out of thin air, it eventually has to migrate somewhere.

Fiat money newly created by the Fed, once unleashed in the monetary pipeline, cannot be called back and eventually sloshes into some part of the economy.  Paradoxically, when those funds find their way into certain tangible things, like gold silver or oil or consumer goods, the US government and the Fed cause vast market worries about impending inflation.  On the other hand, if that very same newborn money migrates to the politically-correct investment arenas like tech stocks or residential real estate, the Fed is hailed by Wall Street like a conquering hero. 

As we journey deeper into inflation, please realize our economic growth in the US officially languished near zero and the perma-bulls on Wall Street and the financial media relentlessly pressured Americans to “invest for the long haul” while they lost TRILLIONS of dollars worth of scarce capital, the Fed was inflating at a mind-boggling rate.

In the great Fed Panic of 2001, marked by seven frantic rate cuts for 300 basis points BEFORE the attacks, the Fed breached extreme inflation levels at a 50% annualized rate not once, but twice!

The most astounding feature of the 2001 Fed Panic, however, is that the 10-week moving average of annualized growth hovered around 25% for many weeks in early 2001!  25%!?!  Holy cow!  While the wizards at the Bureau of Labor Statistics kept telling Americans, “No, it is your imagination, prices are not going up and the cost of living is stable.  Trust us.”, the Fed was launching its most aggressive inflationary assault on Americans in decades.  While anyone who feeds a family and lives in the real world feels the painful bite of rising monetary inflation, the low buying power of the failing dollar the government calmly assures Americans that inflation is dead.  What a crock!

Even before the terrorists altered the course of history, the Federal Reserve was obviously deep in panic mode and creating unbacked fiat dollars at banana-republic type inflationary rates that defy rational explanation.


After the 2001 inflationary bubble began to wane in August, 300 tons of jet fuel was mercilessly slammed into the sides of the World Trade Center towers and the whole US financial world literally shut down, digesting the surreal events in stunned silence.

Following the 9/11 message from radical Islam, the Fed ramped the money supply again like it was Armageddon, pumping out FRN’S at a breathtaking 168% annualized growth rate!!  Surely socialist Keynes is rejoicing in his grave.

In actual dollars they grew by $172b between September 10 and September 17.  For any mathematically-challenged central bankers that may be reading this, that is roughly $25b per day, over $1b per HOUR. 

For comparison purposes, realize that the ENTIRE M1 money supply of the United States of America in 1966 was less than $172b.  While it took the US government and eventually the Fed, after it usurped the monetary helm in 1913, almost 200 years to inflate the narrow money supply of the American people to $172b, the Alan Greenspan Fed was so utterly terrified of financial collapse following the WTC collapse that it injected $172b into the US financial system in ONE WEEK!

As we marvel at this enormous inflationary trend the Fed has carelessly embarked upon, the criticism can be advanced that annualizing weekly changes is misleading.  The argument, which is valid, states that outlying data spikes like the shocking 168% annualized increase after the terrorist attacks are leveled out through subsequent lower inflation weeks. 

 

The inflation level recently has blown through the 15% level, dwarfing the  injection of liquidity.

It is certainly hard to reconcile a 15%+ narrow monetary inflation rate, an economy with near zero growth implying the total amount of goods and services we can buy with our money is not expanding, and a suspiciously low official  inflation rate under 3%.  One does not have to be a world-class economist or a market expert to realize something just doesn’t smell right here.  Of course, with the political foxes guarding the US statistical hen house, anything is possible, even stable unemployment through the worst US September in history. And the so-called recovery of 2004 without jobs.

Once again extreme monetary growth does not match the popular market conceptions that inflation is hovering on the edge of extinction. 

If you believe, as we do, that the Fed reacts to every potential crisis by simply turning on the monetary taps, flooding the system with funny money, the slope and magnitude of the 2001 Fed Panic indicates that the US financial system was in horrible shape in 2001 well before the Mohammedan terrorists exported their filthy seventh-century Arabic holy war to America’s shores. 

But, according to Wall Street and the US government, inflation is dead!  (What a joke.)

Only a few investors have taken the time to dig into the Federal Reserve monetary data and realize a the unbelievable monetary event have occurred.   

Today, very few market participants, big or small, are paying any attention to the extreme Federal Reserve monetary inflation in America.  The displacement of money has already occurred. The raise of oil to $100 a barrel and gas and diesel to 4 and 5 dollars and higher cause all products and services to inflate.

The best that investors can do after this monetary inflation is to try and discern where the inflationary will hit and how to make preparations to both shelter and preserve capital from its impact and profit from its raw force. You can do that with Silver Dollars.

The Fed no doubt hopes that the newly created fiat money will once again stampede into the equity markets, similar to 1999 and 2000.  This takes enormous heat off the Fed and gave Alan Greenspan his small window of opportunity to retire as a loved man like he was as his equity bubble grew rather than the loathed man he has become since his bubble burst.  Some would claim the inflation is already hitting here and causing the massive equity rally we have witnessed since the lows after the attacks.  Maybe they are right, but we really doubt it.

Bear markets in equities are punctuated with the record-setting rallies.  In order to lure-in as many bullish investors as possible to their doom, Witness 1st quarter 2004 the bear market must allow great hope to build in the midst of its mauling.  The way to accomplish this is through huge rallies, often sparked by short-covering on technically oversold conditions and then continued by die-hard bulls who become convinced we have “Seen THE Bottom” and don’t want to miss the great “bullish” action.  These current mini rallies unfolding in this  “bear market of 1004 is stamped all over it as US equity valuations remain fundamentally grossly overvalued based on the earnings and cashflow they can spin off.

Because equities remain so overvalued and have already fallen so far thus rendering many equity perma-bulls into financial disarray.  Also, with the US dollar languishing under the inflationary and low-interest rate onslaught, we believe foreign investors will increasingly sell their US equity and debt holdings and repatriate their currencies or migrate to other non-dollar currencies in order to avoid the continuing slide of the US dollar.

Where else can the newly born fiat money go?

The bond markets are not a good idea, as the Fed has declared open war on bond investors by pushing real interest rates negative, something we have not seen since the 1970s. The equity markets in the US are in serious trouble and remain way overvalued, and the Fed has killed the incentives for buying bonds.  As  the usual destinations for capital remain on the highly-risky open market place.  Both bonds and stocks hate inflation as it reduces their potential real returns and causes investors to flock to the ultimate inflation refuge of gold and silver.

To the amazement of the throngs of gold bears, gold did not give up its post-attack gains in the weeks following the attacks.  We believe part of the reason this is occurring is the rapidly increasing global investment demand for gold.  Now evidence of that trend prediction Gold is over $500.00 I believe Gold will surpass the $1,000 mark soon. That trend is everywhere, from COMEX trading results to anecdotal reports of legions of Americans buying gold who have never even considered it before.  Foreign investors as well are flocking to the Ancient Metal of Kings, as it has had many millennia of unparalleled success in preserving and enhancing precious and scarce investor capital through inflationary episodes of history. However Gold is for those who can afford it, most Americans cannot, so I believe Silver is the poor mans gold. Just a little bit of FRNS can buy a lot of Silver so America buy Silver Dollars while they are still relatively cheap. If you wait to long Silver will start to cost to much for the average person. Now is the time to make your move.

As the Fed incessantly pours more inflationary jet fuel on the fires of dying US equity bubbles that should simply be left to burn out on their own, the damage to the markets will increase dramatically.  Smart money is already migrating into gold, and silver and the latest inflationary data shows it is well-justified in seeking a tangible hard-asset refuge to weather the coming inflation.

The damage has already started to happen and the monetary displacement  is rapidly hurtling outward ready to slam into the fragile US financial markets.  As the inflation is out of the monetary pipeline and already a done deal, there is no backing out and no way of avoiding the ugly consequences.  The damage the reckless Fed inflation ultimately wreaks on US financial assets could be extraordinary.

 

According to Jon E. Dougherty in his report dated March 23, 2004 “Is the Government Hiding Real Inflation” pointed out many facts and statistics the government isn't including in its economic and labor reports would, if added in, change our outlook on economic news.

Consider the most recent government economic and labor data: unemployment fell in February to 5.6 percent, the lowest figure since October 2001; the U.S. economy is reportedly growing at a 4 percent annual rate – well above rates just one year ago; analysts say inflation is almost non-existent.

Yet an analysis in the Boston Globe says the rosy economic picture being painted by Washington's agencies, bureaucracies and politicians isn't all it's made out to be. On a personal level, Americans are feeling much more of a pinch than the statistics show.

Medical Care: One area where this is true is in the cost of health care and medical services. Virtually every working American with a health insurance plan has had to pay higher premiums within the past year. According to CNN/Money Magazine, premiums increased 14 percent between 2002 and 2003, the largest increase since 1990. And firms have passed those increases on to employees.

The government's Consumer Price Index (CPI) indeed tracks the cost of medical services. But it doesn't as precisely track who pays for them. While your employer may be shifting more of the cost of premiums or reducing benefits, the shift is indirectly accounted for but only after a lag of about two years, the Globe said.

Of course, the new costs hit consumers immediately. If those rising costs deter employees from seeing a doctor, those costs are not tracked at all.

Housing Costs

In some areas of the country, the cost of housing has been slipping for some years because fewer Americans are moving there. Yet these declines get averaged in with the astronomical cost of housing around major urban and metropolitan areas; in the end, only modest housing cost increases are seen.

Housing costs are skyrocketing, outstripping incomes in places like San Francisco and other big cities. "Try telling a young person in Greater Boston or New York or LA that there's no serious housing inflation or that rents have not increased faster than earnings," said the Globe.

Hidden Inflation

The paper's analysis also said there is an increasing amount of hidden inflation.

For example, older adults are having to subsidize their children longer, for a number of reasons: lower starting salaries, very high rents, the high cost of college tuition and rising heath insurance costs.

Such costs affect the pocketbooks of those who must bear the costs. But those costs don't show up in the government's statistics.

Furthermore, low official rates of inflation also translate into lower savings account interest rates, Treasury securities and other investments made by older and retired Americans. Older people on fixed incomes can often find themselves at the mercy of rising rents, for instance.

Then there is the cost of necessary consumer items regularly purchased, like gasoline. The cost of gas is up dramatically, but those costs don't affect the overall CPI because energy costs are a relatively small portion of average total consumer spending.

If you need your car for your business, though, you can sure feel the pinch. Just ask a trucker who has to pay 60 cents more per gallon of diesel fuel for a 60 gallon tank.

Unemployment

According to the government, the jobless rate is hovering around 5.6 percent—comfortable, and about where it averaged during the boom of the 1990s.

But when you factor in all of the unemployed who have left the job market because they've been unable to find work, the Globe says that figure rises to around 7.7 percent. Authors note: Its my contention it’s closer to 10% when you consider those who never filed at all.

The government also does not take into account much small business activity that could show different unemployment numbers than those officially stated.

One measure of a soft job market is that wages have not kept up with inflation. Last year, the official inflation rate was about 2.3 percent, but average wages only rose 2 percent. In 2004, that figure is likely to be worse, warn analysts.

Taxes

The Bush administration and Republicans like to say the average voter received a tax cut of about $1,000 since 2001. But the real figure is much lower, because the average voter was lumped in with people like Bill Gates.

In many cases the real cut was more like $300—a figure overwhelmed by increases in local property tax increases caused by a drop in federal aid to states and cities.

It’s time the government updated its statistical analyses to:

  Include things like the Household Survey of the job market

  Factor in costs that all Americans bear, like gas prices

  Give fair weight to various tax burdens and housing costs.

This way, the economic reports we get would accurately reflect what’s going on.

.

 

Federal Reserve Act

 

America was a prosperous, powerful, and growing nation, at peace with its neighbors and the envy of the world. But - in December of 1913, Congress, with many members away for the Christmas holidays, passed what has since been known as the FEDERAL RESERVE ACT. (For the full story of how this infamous legislation was forced through our Congress, read The Creature from Jekyll Island, by G. Edward Griffin or Conquest or Consent, by W. B. Vennard). Omitting the burdensome details, it simply authorized the establishment of a Federal Reserve Corporation, with a Board of Directors (The Federal Reserve Board) to run it, and the United States was divided into 12 Federal Reserve "Districts." Or banks.

This simple, but terrible, law completely removed from Congress the right to "create" money or to have any control over its "creation," and gave that function to the Federal Reserve Corporation. This was done with appropriate fanfare and propaganda that this would "remove money from politics" (they didn't say "and therefore from the people's control") and prevent "Boom and Bust" from hurting our citizens. The people were not told then, and most still do not know today, that the Federal Reserve Corporation is a private corporation controlled by bankers and therefore is operated for the financial gain of the bankers over the people rather than for the good of the people. The word "Federal" was used only to deceive the people.

MORE DISASTROUS THAN PEARL HARBOR
Since that "day of infamy," more disastrous to us than Pearl Harbor, the small group of "privileged" people who lend us "our" money have accrued to themselves all of the profits of printing our money' - and more! Since 1913 they have "created" tens of billions of dollars in money and credit, which, as their own personal property, they then lend to our government and our people at interest. "The rich get richer and the poor get poorer" had become the secret policy of our National Government. An example of the process of "creation" and its conversion to peo